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Cryptocurrency Trader

Production-grade AI trading agent for cryptocurrency markets with advanced mathematical modeling, multi-layer validation, probabilistic analysis, and zero-hallucination tolerance. Implements Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo simulations, advanced risk metrics (VaR, CVaR, Sharpe), chart pattern recognition, and comprehensive cross-verification for real-world trading application.

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Production-grade AI trading agent for cryptocurrency markets with advanced mathematical modeling, multi-layer validation, probabilistic analysis, and zero-hallucination tolerance. Implements Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo simulations, advanced risk metrics (VaR, CVaR, Sharpe), chart pattern recognition, and comprehensive cross-verification for real-world trading application.

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Requirements

Target platform
OpenClaw
Install method
Manual import
Extraction
Extract archive
Prerequisites
OpenClaw
Primary doc
SKILL.md

Package facts

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Manual review
Package format
ZIP package
Source platform
Tencent SkillHub
What's included
PRODUCTION_READY_SUMMARY.md, SKILL.md, __main__.py, change_log.md, config.yaml, example_usage.py

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Release facts

Source
Tencent SkillHub
Verification
Indexed source record
Version
0.1.0

Documentation

ClawHub primary doc Primary doc: SKILL.md 21 sections Open source page

Purpose

Provide production-grade cryptocurrency trading analysis with mathematical rigor, multi-layer validation, and comprehensive risk assessment. Designed for real-world trading application with zero-hallucination tolerance through 6-stage validation pipeline.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when users request: Analysis of specific cryptocurrency trading pairs (e.g., BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT) Market scanning to find best trading opportunities Comprehensive risk assessment with probabilistic modeling Trading signals with advanced pattern recognition Professional risk metrics (VaR, CVaR, Sharpe, Sortino) Monte Carlo simulations for scenario analysis Bayesian probability calculations for signal confidence

Validation & Accuracy

6-stage validation pipeline with zero-hallucination tolerance Statistical anomaly detection (Z-score, IQR, Benford's Law) Cross-verification across multiple timeframes 14 circuit breakers to prevent invalid signals

Analysis Methods

Bayesian inference for probability calculations Monte Carlo simulations (10,000 scenarios) GARCH volatility forecasting Advanced chart pattern recognition Multi-timeframe consensus (15m, 1h, 4h)

Risk Management

Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) Risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar) Kelly Criterion position sizing Automated stop-loss and take-profit calculation Detailed capabilities: See references/advanced-capabilities.md

Prerequisites

Ensure the following before using this skill: Python 3.8+ environment available Internet connection for real-time market data Required packages installed: pip install -r requirements.txt User's account balance known for position sizing

Quick Start Commands

Analyze a specific cryptocurrency: python skill.py analyze BTC/USDT --balance 10000 Scan market for best opportunities: python skill.py scan --top 5 --balance 10000 Interactive mode for exploration: python skill.py interactive --balance 10000

Default Parameters

Balance: If not specified by user, use --balance 10000 Timeframes: 15m, 1h, 4h (automatically analyzed) Risk per trade: 2% of balance (enforced by default) Minimum risk/reward: 1.5:1 (validated by circuit breakers)

Common Trading Pairs

Major: BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, BNB/USDT, SOL/USDT, XRP/USDT AI Tokens: RENDER/USDT, FET/USDT, AGIX/USDT Layer 1: ADA/USDT, AVAX/USDT, DOT/USDT Layer 2: MATIC/USDT, ARB/USDT, OP/USDT DeFi: UNI/USDT, AAVE/USDT, LINK/USDT Meme: DOGE/USDT, SHIB/USDT, PEPE/USDT

Workflow

Gather Information Ask user for trading pair (if analyzing specific symbol) Ask for account balance (or use default $10,000) Confirm user wants production-grade analysis Execute Analysis Run appropriate command (analyze, scan, or interactive) Wait for comprehensive analysis to complete System automatically validates through 6 stages Present Results Display trading signal (LONG/SHORT/NO_TRADE) Show confidence level and execution readiness Explain entry, stop-loss, and take-profit prices Present risk metrics and position sizing Highlight validation status (6/6 passed = execution ready) Interpret Output Reference references/output-interpretation.md for detailed guidance Translate technical metrics into user-friendly language Explain risk/reward in simple terms Always include risk warnings Handle Edge Cases If execution_ready = NO: Explain validation failures If confidence <40%: Recommend waiting for better opportunity If circuit breakers triggered: Explain specific issue If network errors: Suggest retry with exponential backoff

Output Structure

Trading Signal: Action: LONG/SHORT/NO_TRADE Confidence: 0-95% (integer only, no false precision) Entry Price: Recommended entry point Stop Loss: Risk management exit (always required) Take Profit: Profit target Risk/Reward: Minimum 1.5:1 ratio Probabilistic Analysis: Bayesian probabilities (bullish/bearish) Monte Carlo profit probability Signal strength (WEAK/MODERATE/STRONG) Pattern bias confirmation Risk Assessment: VaR and CVaR (Value at Risk metrics) Sharpe/Sortino/Calmar ratios Max drawdown and win rate Profit factor Position Sizing: Standard (2% risk rule) - recommended Kelly Conservative - mathematically optimal Kelly Aggressive - higher risk/reward Trading fees estimate Validation Status: Stages passed (must be 6/6 for execution ready) Circuit breakers triggered (if any) Warnings and critical failures Detailed interpretation: See references/output-interpretation.md

Language Guidelines

Use beginner-friendly explanations: "LONG" β†’ "Buy now, sell higher later" "SHORT" β†’ "Sell now, buy back cheaper later" "Stop Loss" β†’ "Automatic exit to limit loss if wrong" "Confidence %" β†’ "How certain we are (higher = better)" "Risk/Reward" β†’ "For every $1 risked, potential $X profit"

Required Risk Warnings

ALWAYS include these reminders: Markets are unpredictable - perfect analysis can still be wrong Start with small amounts to learn Never risk more than 2% per trade (enforced automatically) Always use stop losses This is analysis, NOT financial advice Past performance does NOT guarantee future results User is solely responsible for all trading decisions

When NOT to Trade

Advise users to avoid trading when: Validation status <6/6 passed Execution Ready flag = NO Confidence <60% for moderate signals, <70% for strong User doesn't understand the analysis User can't afford potential loss High emotional stress or fatigue

Programmatic Integration

For custom workflows, import directly: from scripts.trading_agent_refactored import TradingAgent agent = TradingAgent(balance=10000) analysis = agent.comprehensive_analysis('BTC/USDT') print(analysis['final_recommendation']) See example_usage.py for 5 comprehensive examples.

Configuration

Customize behavior via config.yaml: Validation strictness (strict vs normal mode) Risk parameters (max risk, position limits) Circuit breaker thresholds Timeframe preferences

Testing

Verify installation and functionality: # Run compatibility test ./test_claude_code_compat.sh # Run comprehensive tests python -m pytest tests/

Reference Documentation

references/advanced-capabilities.md - Detailed technical capabilities references/output-interpretation.md - Comprehensive output guide references/optimization.md - Trading optimization strategies references/protocol.md - Usage protocols and best practices references/psychology.md - Trading psychology principles references/user-guide.md - End-user documentation references/technical-docs/ - Implementation details and bug reports

Architecture

Core Modules: scripts/trading_agent_refactored.py - Main trading agent (production) scripts/advanced_validation.py - Multi-layer validation system scripts/advanced_analytics.py - Probabilistic modeling engine scripts/pattern_recognition_refactored.py - Chart pattern recognition scripts/indicators/ - Technical indicator calculations scripts/market/ - Data provider and market scanner scripts/risk/ - Position sizing and risk management scripts/signals/ - Signal generation and recommendation Entry Points: skill.py - Command-line interface (recommended) __main__.py - Python module invocation example_usage.py - Programmatic usage examples

Version

v2.0.1 - Production Hardened Edition Recent improvements: Fixed critical bugs (division by zero, import paths, NaN handling) Enhanced network retry logic with exponential backoff Improved logging infrastructure Comprehensive input validation UTC timezone consistency Benford's Law threshold optimization Status: 🟒 PRODUCTION READY See references/technical-docs/FIXES_APPLIED.md for complete changelog.

Troubleshooting

Installation issues: pip install --upgrade pip pip install -r requirements.txt Import errors: Ensure running from skill directory or using skill.py entry point. Network failures: System automatically retries with exponential backoff (3 attempts). Validation failures: Check validation report in output - explains which stage failed and why. For detailed debugging: Enable logging in config.yaml or check references/technical-docs/BUG_ANALYSIS_REPORT.md

Category context

Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.

Source: Tencent SkillHub

Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.

Package contents

Included in package
3 Docs2 Scripts1 Config
  • SKILL.md Primary doc
  • change_log.md Docs
  • PRODUCTION_READY_SUMMARY.md Docs
  • __main__.py Scripts
  • example_usage.py Scripts
  • config.yaml Config