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    "name": "Argus Edge — Prediction Market Betting Engine",
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    "type": "skill",
    "category": "AI 智能",
    "sourceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/argus-edge",
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      "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder."
    ],
    "prompts": [
      {
        "label": "New install",
        "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete."
      },
      {
        "label": "Upgrade existing",
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  "documentation": {
    "source": "clawhub",
    "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md",
    "sections": [
      {
        "title": "Argus Edge — Prediction Market Betting Engine",
        "body": "The complete Argus strategy for finding and exploiting edge in crypto prediction markets."
      },
      {
        "title": "Core Formula",
        "body": "Edge = our_P(win) - market_implied_P(win)\nBet when: edge ≥ 10% AND fresh market (<30 min old) AND TA score ≥ ±2\nKelly stake = (edge × bankroll) / odds"
      },
      {
        "title": "Freshness Guard",
        "body": "Skip markets >92% consensus (dead signal, L020)\nPrioritize markets <30 min old (primary window)\nPrimary bets WR: 77.8% vs overall 56.6%"
      },
      {
        "title": "Counter-Consensus Rule (L023)",
        "body": "TA score ≥+1 + market DOWN >80% + ≥20 min remaining → bet UP (counter-consensus has positive EV, validated at 5x+ payout)"
      },
      {
        "title": "Asset Calibration",
        "body": "AssetTA ReliabilityBiasMin ScoreBTC0.75Neutral±3ETH0.80UP+0.05±2SOL0.90UP+0.05±1XRP0.70UP+0.08±2"
      },
      {
        "title": "Usage",
        "body": "Use argus-edge to find the best Polymarket bet right now\n\nUse argus-edge to calculate edge on BTC 11am ET market\n\nUse argus-edge for full market scan with Kelly sizing"
      },
      {
        "title": "Battle-Tested",
        "body": "Derived from 100+ live Polymarket bets. 25 documented lessons (L001–L025)."
      }
    ],
    "body": "Argus Edge — Prediction Market Betting Engine\n\nThe complete Argus strategy for finding and exploiting edge in crypto prediction markets.\n\nCore Formula\nEdge = our_P(win) - market_implied_P(win)\nBet when: edge ≥ 10% AND fresh market (<30 min old) AND TA score ≥ ±2\nKelly stake = (edge × bankroll) / odds\n\nStrategy Rules\nFreshness Guard\nSkip markets >92% consensus (dead signal, L020)\nPrioritize markets <30 min old (primary window)\nPrimary bets WR: 77.8% vs overall 56.6%\nCounter-Consensus Rule (L023)\n\nTA score ≥+1 + market DOWN >80% + ≥20 min remaining → bet UP (counter-consensus has positive EV, validated at 5x+ payout)\n\nAsset Calibration\nAsset\tTA Reliability\tBias\tMin Score\nBTC\t0.75\tNeutral\t±3\nETH\t0.80\tUP+0.05\t±2\nSOL\t0.90\tUP+0.05\t±1\nXRP\t0.70\tUP+0.08\t±2\nUsage\nUse argus-edge to find the best Polymarket bet right now\n\nUse argus-edge to calculate edge on BTC 11am ET market\n\nUse argus-edge for full market scan with Kelly sizing\n\nBattle-Tested\n\nDerived from 100+ live Polymarket bets. 25 documented lessons (L001–L025)."
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    "sourceLabel": "tencent",
    "provenanceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/argus-edge",
    "publisherUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/argus-edge",
    "owner": "JamieRossouw",
    "version": "1.0.0",
    "license": null,
    "verificationStatus": "Indexed source record"
  },
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