Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Tencent SkillHub Β· AI
Polymarket Fast Loop Improved
Trade Polymarket BTC/ETH/SOL 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using multi-signal CEX momentum. Adds funding rate confirmation, order book imbalance, time-...
skill openclawclawhub Free
Trade Polymarket BTC/ETH/SOL 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using multi-signal CEX momentum. Adds funding rate confirmation, order book imbalance, time-...
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Install for OpenClaw
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- Download the package from Yavira.
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Package facts
- Download mode
- Yavira redirect
- Package format
- ZIP package
- Source platform
- Tencent SkillHub
- What's included
- SKILL.md
Validation
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Trust & source
Release facts
- Source
- Tencent SkillHub
- Verification
- Indexed source record
- Version
- 0.1.0
Provenance
- Publisher
- oryselias
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Documentation
Polymarket FastLoop Trader β Improved
An enhanced version of the Simmer FastLoop skill with rigorous edge filtering, multi-signal confirmation, and real calibration tracking. Default is paper mode. Use --live for real trades. Always run 100+ paper trades first to validate your win rate before going live. β οΈ Fast markets carry Polymarket's 10% fee. Your signal needs to be right 63%+ of the time to profit. This skill will tell you your actual win rate.
Key Improvements Over Original
FeatureOriginalImprovedFee mathApproximateExact breakeven with configurable bufferSignalBinance momentum onlyMomentum + funding rate + order bookMomentum threshold0.5% (too low)1.0% default, calibration-drivenTime filteringNoneSkips low-liquidity hoursPosition sizingFixedVolatility-adjustedWin rate trackingNoneLogs outcomes, reports calibrationMarket selectionSoonest expiryConfigurable sweet-spot windowStatsNoneFull P&L, win rate, signal breakdown
Quick Start
# Install dependency pip install simmer-sdk # Set API key export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here" # Paper mode β see what would happen (default) python fastloop_improved.py # Go live python fastloop_improved.py --live # Check calibration stats (win rate, P&L, signal accuracy) python fastloop_improved.py --stats # Resolve any expired paper trades against real outcomes python fastloop_improved.py --resolve # Quiet mode for cron python fastloop_improved.py --live --quiet
How to Run on a Loop
OpenClaw native cron: openclaw cron add \ --name "FastLoop Improved" \ --cron "*/5 * * * *" \ --tz "UTC" \ --session isolated \ --message "Run improved fast loop: cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_improved.py --live --quiet. Show output summary." \ --announce Linux crontab: */5 * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_improved.py --live --quiet
Configuration
# Raise momentum threshold (recommended: 1.0β2.0%) python fastloop_improved.py --set min_momentum_pct=1.5 # Require order book confirmation python fastloop_improved.py --set require_orderbook=true # Set sweet-spot window for market selection (seconds remaining) python fastloop_improved.py --set target_time_min=90 --set target_time_max=180 # Disable time-of-day filter (trade 24/7) python fastloop_improved.py --set time_filter=false
All Settings
SettingDefaultDescriptionentry_threshold0.05Min divergence from 50Β’min_momentum_pct1.0Min % BTC move (raised from 0.5)max_position5.0Max $ per tradesignal_sourcebinancebinance or coingeckolookback_minutes5Candle lookback windowmin_time_remaining60Skip if less than N seconds lefttarget_time_min90Prefer markets with β₯ N seconds lefttarget_time_max210Prefer markets with β€ N seconds leftassetBTCBTC, ETH, or SOLwindow5m5m or 15mvolume_confidencetrueSkip low-volume signalsrequire_fundingfalseRequire funding rate confirmationrequire_orderbookfalseRequire order book imbalance confirmationtime_filtertrueSkip low-liquidity hours (02:00β06:00 UTC)vol_sizingtrueAdjust size by recent volatilityfee_buffer0.05Extra edge required above fee breakevendaily_budget10.0Max spend per UTC daystarting_balance1000.0Paper portfolio starting balance
Signal Logic
Three signals are evaluated independently. The momentum signal is always required. Funding and order book are optional confirmation layers.
1. Momentum (always on)
Fetch N one-minute Binance candles momentum = (close_now - open_then) / open_then * 100 Must exceed min_momentum_pct
2. Funding Rate (optional, require_funding=true)
Fetch Binance perpetual funding rate for the asset Positive funding + upward momentum = longs crowded, signal is weaker β SKIP Negative funding + upward momentum = confirmation β TRADE Logic inverted for downward momentum
3. Order Book Imbalance (optional, require_orderbook=true)
Fetch top 20 levels of Binance L2 book imbalance = (bid_depth - ask_depth) / (bid_depth + ask_depth) Imbalance > 0.1 confirms upward momentum Imbalance < -0.1 confirms downward momentum
Fee-Accurate EV
entry_price = market price of chosen side win_profit = (1 - entry_price) Γ (1 - fee_rate) breakeven = entry_price / (win_profit + entry_price) required_div = (breakeven - 0.50) + fee_buffer Trade only fires if actual_divergence β₯ required_div.
Time-of-Day Filter
Skips 02:00β06:00 UTC by default. US session (13:00β21:00 UTC) is the highest-liquidity window for crypto prediction markets.
Volatility-Adjusted Sizing
24h_vol = std(hourly_returns_last_24h) Γ β24 size = max_position Γ min(1.0, 0.02 / 24h_vol) High volatility β smaller position. Low volatility with strong trend β full size.
Win Rate Calibration
The skill tracks every paper and live trade in fastloop_ledger.json. After market expiry, run --resolve to fetch the actual Polymarket outcome and log it. After 50+ trades, --stats shows your real win rate broken down by momentum threshold, time of day, and asset β so you can tune settings based on actual data rather than guessing.
Troubleshooting
All troubleshooting from the original skill applies. Additional: "Funding rate fetch failed" Binance futures API may be rate-limited. Skill falls back to momentum-only. "Order book imbalance: neutral" Market is balanced, signal is ambiguous β skipped if require_orderbook=true. "Time filter: low liquidity window" Current UTC hour is in the 02β06 block. Set time_filter=false to override.
Category context
Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.
Source: Tencent SkillHub
Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.
Package contents
Included in package
1 Docs
- SKILL.md