← All skills
Tencent SkillHub Β· Developer Tools

Manifold Markets

Read and trade on Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect users/bets, place bets/sell/comment). Never place a bet/sell/comment without explicit user confirmation.

skill openclawclawhub Free
0 Downloads
0 Stars
0 Installs
0 Score
High Signal

Read and trade on Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect users/bets, place bets/sell/comment). Never place a bet/sell/comment without explicit user confirmation.

⬇ 0 downloads β˜… 0 stars Unverified but indexed

Install for OpenClaw

Quick setup
  1. Download the package from Yavira.
  2. Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
  3. Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.

Requirements

Target platform
OpenClaw
Install method
Manual import
Extraction
Extract archive
Prerequisites
OpenClaw
Primary doc
SKILL.md

Package facts

Download mode
Yavira redirect
Package format
ZIP package
Source platform
Tencent SkillHub
What's included
SKILL.md

Validation

  • Use the Yavira download entry.
  • Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
  • Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.

Install with your agent

Agent handoff

Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.

  1. Download the package from Yavira.
  2. Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
  3. Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.
New install

I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.

Upgrade existing

I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.

Trust & source

Release facts

Source
Tencent SkillHub
Verification
Indexed source record
Version
1.0.0

Documentation

ClawHub primary doc Primary doc: SKILL.md 13 sections Open source page

Manifold Markets

Use this skill to read from Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect public user info) and to place trades/comments with explicit confirmation. Write actions require MANIFOLD_API_KEY (in the environment or configured via OpenClaw skill entries). Base URL: https://api.manifold.markets/v0 Docs: https://docs.manifold.markets/api

Search markets

curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets?term=AI+safety&limit=5" Tip: replace spaces with + (or URL-encode). If you have jq, format results: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets?term=AI+safety&limit=5" | jq '.[] | {id, slug, question, outcomeType, probability, createdTime, creatorUsername}'

List newest markets

curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=10" With jq: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=10" | jq '.[] | {id, slug, question, outcomeType, probability, closeTime}'

Get market details (by ID)

curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID" Binary markets usually expose probability (0..1). Other market types may not have a single probability field.

Get market details (by slug)

The slug is the portion of the Manifold URL after the username (e.g. .../Alice/my-market-slug β†’ my-market-slug). curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/slug/MARKET_SLUG"

Inspect a user (by username)

curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME"

List bets for a user

If you have jq: USER_ID="$(curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME" | jq -r '.id')" curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?userId=$USER_ID&limit=50" Without jq, fetch the user JSON and read the id field, then use it: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME" curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?userId=USER_ID&limit=50"

Write safety rules

Never place a bet, sell shares, or post a comment unless the user explicitly confirms (e.g. β€œyes, place it”, β€œconfirm”, β€œdo it”). Always fetch the market first and restate: market question, market id/slug, action (bet/sell/comment), side/answer, amount/shares, and any limits. If the user is not explicit about amount/side, stop and ask.

Write tasks

Authentication Uses MANIFOLD_API_KEY in header: Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY Set MANIFOLD_API_KEY (or skills.manifold.apiKey in ~/.openclaw/openclaw.json).

Place a bet (binary market)

Fetch the market and confirm it’s the right one: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID" Preview the exact payload you intend to send (do not run the POST until user confirms): cat <<'JSON' {"amount":10,"contractId":"MARKET_ID","outcome":"YES"} JSON After explicit confirmation, place the bet: curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bet" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"amount":10,"contractId":"MARKET_ID","outcome":"YES"}' Notes: amount is in Mana (integer). outcome is YES or NO for binary markets. For non-binary markets, consult the Manifold API docs for the correct payload.

Sell shares

Preview first (do not run until user confirms). Sell all shares for an outcome (omit shares to sell all): curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID/sell" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"outcome":"YES"}' Sell a specific number of shares: curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID/sell" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"outcome":"YES","shares":10}'

Post a comment

Comments made through the API can incur a fee (see Manifold API docs). Always confirm text + target market. curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/comment" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"contractId":"MARKET_ID","content":"Your comment here."}'

Notes

Rate limits apply (see Manifold API docs). Private/unlisted markets may not be accessible via the public API depending on current platform behavior.

Category context

Code helpers, APIs, CLIs, browser automation, testing, and developer operations.

Source: Tencent SkillHub

Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.

Package contents

Included in package
1 Docs
  • SKILL.md Primary doc