Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Read and trade on Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect users/bets, place bets/sell/comment). Never place a bet/sell/comment without explicit user confirmation.
Read and trade on Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect users/bets, place bets/sell/comment). Never place a bet/sell/comment without explicit user confirmation.
Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.
I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.
I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.
Use this skill to read from Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect public user info) and to place trades/comments with explicit confirmation. Write actions require MANIFOLD_API_KEY (in the environment or configured via OpenClaw skill entries). Base URL: https://api.manifold.markets/v0 Docs: https://docs.manifold.markets/api
curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets?term=AI+safety&limit=5" Tip: replace spaces with + (or URL-encode). If you have jq, format results: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets?term=AI+safety&limit=5" | jq '.[] | {id, slug, question, outcomeType, probability, createdTime, creatorUsername}'
curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=10" With jq: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/markets?limit=10" | jq '.[] | {id, slug, question, outcomeType, probability, closeTime}'
curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID" Binary markets usually expose probability (0..1). Other market types may not have a single probability field.
The slug is the portion of the Manifold URL after the username (e.g. .../Alice/my-market-slug β my-market-slug). curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/slug/MARKET_SLUG"
curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME"
If you have jq: USER_ID="$(curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME" | jq -r '.id')" curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?userId=$USER_ID&limit=50" Without jq, fetch the user JSON and read the id field, then use it: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/USERNAME" curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?userId=USER_ID&limit=50"
Never place a bet, sell shares, or post a comment unless the user explicitly confirms (e.g. βyes, place itβ, βconfirmβ, βdo itβ). Always fetch the market first and restate: market question, market id/slug, action (bet/sell/comment), side/answer, amount/shares, and any limits. If the user is not explicit about amount/side, stop and ask.
Authentication Uses MANIFOLD_API_KEY in header: Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY Set MANIFOLD_API_KEY (or skills.manifold.apiKey in ~/.openclaw/openclaw.json).
Fetch the market and confirm itβs the right one: curl -s "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID" Preview the exact payload you intend to send (do not run the POST until user confirms): cat <<'JSON' {"amount":10,"contractId":"MARKET_ID","outcome":"YES"} JSON After explicit confirmation, place the bet: curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bet" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"amount":10,"contractId":"MARKET_ID","outcome":"YES"}' Notes: amount is in Mana (integer). outcome is YES or NO for binary markets. For non-binary markets, consult the Manifold API docs for the correct payload.
Preview first (do not run until user confirms). Sell all shares for an outcome (omit shares to sell all): curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID/sell" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"outcome":"YES"}' Sell a specific number of shares: curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/market/MARKET_ID/sell" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"outcome":"YES","shares":10}'
Comments made through the API can incur a fee (see Manifold API docs). Always confirm text + target market. curl -s -X POST "https://api.manifold.markets/v0/comment" \ -H "Authorization: Key $MANIFOLD_API_KEY" \ -H "Content-Type: application/json" \ -d '{"contractId":"MARKET_ID","content":"Your comment here."}'
Rate limits apply (see Manifold API docs). Private/unlisted markets may not be accessible via the public API depending on current platform behavior.
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