{ "schemaVersion": "1.0", "item": { "slug": "polyedge", "name": "PolyEdge - Polymarket Correlation Analyzer", "source": "tencent", "type": "skill", "category": "AI 智能", "sourceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/sbaker5/polyedge", "canonicalUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/sbaker5/polyedge", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw" }, "install": { "downloadMode": "redirect", "downloadUrl": "/downloads/polyedge", "sourceDownloadUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=polyedge", "sourcePlatform": "tencent", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw", "installMethod": "Manual import", "extraction": "Extract archive", "prerequisites": [ "OpenClaw" ], "packageFormat": "ZIP package", "includedAssets": [ "PLAN.md", "SKILL.md", "_meta.json", "docker-compose.yml", "src/__init__.py", "src/analyzer.py" ], "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md", "quickSetup": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.", "Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup." ], "agentAssist": { "summary": "Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.", "steps": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract it into a folder your agent can access.", "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder." ], "prompts": [ { "label": "New install", "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete." }, { "label": "Upgrade existing", "body": "I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run." } ] }, "sourceHealth": { "source": "tencent", "status": "healthy", "reason": "direct_download_ok", "recommendedAction": "download", "checkedAt": "2026-04-30T16:55:25.780Z", "expiresAt": "2026-05-07T16:55:25.780Z", "httpStatus": 200, "finalUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=network", "contentType": "application/zip", "probeMethod": "head", "details": { "probeUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=network", "contentDisposition": "attachment; filename=\"network-1.0.0.zip\"", "redirectLocation": null, "bodySnippet": null }, "scope": "source", "summary": "Source download looks usable.", "detail": "Yavira can redirect you to the upstream package for this source.", "primaryActionLabel": "Download for OpenClaw", "primaryActionHref": "/downloads/polyedge" }, "validation": { "installChecklist": [ "Use the Yavira download entry.", "Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.", "Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets." ], "postInstallChecks": [ "Confirm the extracted package includes the expected docs or setup files.", "Validate the skill or prompts are available in your target agent workspace.", "Capture any manual follow-up steps the agent could not complete." ] }, "downloadPageUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/polyedge", "agentPageUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent", "manifestUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent.json", "briefUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent.md" }, "agentAssist": { "summary": "Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.", "steps": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract it into a folder your agent can access.", "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder." ], "prompts": [ { "label": "New install", "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete." }, { "label": "Upgrade existing", "body": "I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run." } ] }, "documentation": { "source": "clawhub", "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md", "sections": [ { "title": "Polymarket Correlation Analyzer", "body": "Find arbitrage opportunities by detecting mispriced correlations between prediction markets." }, { "title": "What It Does", "body": "Analyzes pairs of Polymarket markets to find when one market's price implies something different than another's.\n\nExample:\n\nMarket A: \"Will Fed cut rates?\" = 60%\nMarket B: \"Will S&P rally?\" = 35%\nHistorical: Rate cuts → 70% chance of rally\nSignal: Market B may be underpriced" }, { "title": "Quick Start", "body": "cd src/\npython3 analyzer.py \n\nExample:\n\npython3 analyzer.py russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554 will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716" }, { "title": "Output", "body": "{\n \"market_a\": {\n \"question\": \"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?\",\n \"yes_price\": 0.615,\n \"category\": \"geopolitics\"\n },\n \"market_b\": {\n \"question\": \"Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI?\",\n \"yes_price\": 0.525,\n \"category\": \"geopolitics\"\n },\n \"analysis\": {\n \"pattern_type\": \"category\",\n \"expected_price_b\": 0.5575,\n \"actual_price_b\": 0.525,\n \"mispricing\": 0.0325,\n \"confidence\": \"low\"\n },\n \"signal\": {\n \"action\": \"HOLD\",\n \"reason\": \"Mispricing (3.2%) below threshold\"\n }\n}" }, { "title": "Signal Types", "body": "SignalMeaningHOLDNo significant mispricing detectedBUY_YES_BMarket B underpriced, buy YESBUY_NO_BMarket B overpriced, buy NOBUY_YES_AMarket A underpriced, buy YESBUY_NO_AMarket A overpriced, buy NO" }, { "title": "Confidence Levels", "body": "high — Specific historical pattern found (threshold: 5%)\nmedium — Moderate pattern match (threshold: 8%)\nlow — Category correlation only (threshold: 12%)" }, { "title": "Files", "body": "src/\n├── analyzer.py # Main correlation analyzer\n├── polymarket.py # Polymarket API client\n└── patterns.py # Known correlation patterns" }, { "title": "Adding Patterns", "body": "Edit src/patterns.py to add new correlation patterns:\n\n{\n \"trigger_keywords\": [\"fed\", \"rate cut\"],\n \"outcome_keywords\": [\"s&p\", \"rally\"],\n \"conditional_prob\": 0.70, # P(rally | rate cut)\n \"inverse_prob\": 0.25, # P(rally | no rate cut)\n \"confidence\": \"high\",\n \"reasoning\": \"Historical: Fed cuts boost equities 70% of time\"\n}" }, { "title": "Limitations", "body": "Category-level correlations are rough estimates\nSpecific patterns require manual curation\nDoes not account for market liquidity/slippage\nNot financial advice — do your own research" }, { "title": "API Access (LIVE!)", "body": "x402-enabled API endpoint for pay-per-query access.\n\nGET https://api.nshrt.com/api/v1/correlation?a=&b=\n\nPricing: $0.05 USDC on Base L2\n\nFlow:\n\nMake request → Get 402 Payment Required\nPay to wallet in response\nRetry with X-Payment: header\nGet analysis\n\nDashboard: https://api.nshrt.com/dashboard" }, { "title": "Author", "body": "Gibson (@GibsonXO on MoltBook)\n\nBuilt for the agent economy. 🦞" } ], "body": "Polymarket Correlation Analyzer\n\nFind arbitrage opportunities by detecting mispriced correlations between prediction markets.\n\nWhat It Does\n\nAnalyzes pairs of Polymarket markets to find when one market's price implies something different than another's.\n\nExample:\n\nMarket A: \"Will Fed cut rates?\" = 60%\nMarket B: \"Will S&P rally?\" = 35%\nHistorical: Rate cuts → 70% chance of rally\nSignal: Market B may be underpriced\nQuick Start\ncd src/\npython3 analyzer.py \n\n\nExample:\n\npython3 analyzer.py russia-ukraine-ceasefire-before-gta-vi-554 will-china-invades-taiwan-before-gta-vi-716\n\nOutput\n{\n \"market_a\": {\n \"question\": \"Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?\",\n \"yes_price\": 0.615,\n \"category\": \"geopolitics\"\n },\n \"market_b\": {\n \"question\": \"Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI?\",\n \"yes_price\": 0.525,\n \"category\": \"geopolitics\"\n },\n \"analysis\": {\n \"pattern_type\": \"category\",\n \"expected_price_b\": 0.5575,\n \"actual_price_b\": 0.525,\n \"mispricing\": 0.0325,\n \"confidence\": \"low\"\n },\n \"signal\": {\n \"action\": \"HOLD\",\n \"reason\": \"Mispricing (3.2%) below threshold\"\n }\n}\n\nSignal Types\nSignal\tMeaning\nHOLD\tNo significant mispricing detected\nBUY_YES_B\tMarket B underpriced, buy YES\nBUY_NO_B\tMarket B overpriced, buy NO\nBUY_YES_A\tMarket A underpriced, buy YES\nBUY_NO_A\tMarket A overpriced, buy NO\nConfidence Levels\nhigh — Specific historical pattern found (threshold: 5%)\nmedium — Moderate pattern match (threshold: 8%)\nlow — Category correlation only (threshold: 12%)\nFiles\nsrc/\n├── analyzer.py # Main correlation analyzer\n├── polymarket.py # Polymarket API client\n└── patterns.py # Known correlation patterns\n\nAdding Patterns\n\nEdit src/patterns.py to add new correlation patterns:\n\n{\n \"trigger_keywords\": [\"fed\", \"rate cut\"],\n \"outcome_keywords\": [\"s&p\", \"rally\"],\n \"conditional_prob\": 0.70, # P(rally | rate cut)\n \"inverse_prob\": 0.25, # P(rally | no rate cut)\n \"confidence\": \"high\",\n \"reasoning\": \"Historical: Fed cuts boost equities 70% of time\"\n}\n\nLimitations\nCategory-level correlations are rough estimates\nSpecific patterns require manual curation\nDoes not account for market liquidity/slippage\nNot financial advice — do your own research\nAPI Access (LIVE!)\n\nx402-enabled API endpoint for pay-per-query access.\n\nGET https://api.nshrt.com/api/v1/correlation?a=&b=\n\n\nPricing: $0.05 USDC on Base L2\n\nFlow:\n\nMake request → Get 402 Payment Required\nPay to wallet in response\nRetry with X-Payment: header\nGet analysis\n\nDashboard: https://api.nshrt.com/dashboard\n\nAuthor\n\nGibson (@GibsonXO on MoltBook)\n\nBuilt for the agent economy. 🦞" }, "trust": { "sourceLabel": "tencent", "provenanceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/sbaker5/polyedge", "publisherUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/sbaker5/polyedge", "owner": "sbaker5", "version": "0.1.1", "license": null, "verificationStatus": "Indexed source record" }, "links": { "detailUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge", "downloadUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/polyedge", "agentUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent", "manifestUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent.json", "briefUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polyedge/agent.md" } }