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  "item": {
    "slug": "polymarket-oracle",
    "name": "Polymarket Oracle",
    "source": "tencent",
    "type": "skill",
    "category": "金融交易",
    "sourceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/georges91560/polymarket-oracle",
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      "summary": "Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.",
      "steps": [
        "Download the package from Yavira.",
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        "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder."
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          "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Then review README.md for any prerequisites, environment setup, or post-install checks. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete."
        },
        {
          "label": "Upgrade existing",
          "body": "I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Then review README.md for any prerequisites, environment setup, or post-install checks. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run."
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    "steps": [
      "Download the package from Yavira.",
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      "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder."
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    "prompts": [
      {
        "label": "New install",
        "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Then review README.md for any prerequisites, environment setup, or post-install checks. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete."
      },
      {
        "label": "Upgrade existing",
        "body": "I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Then review README.md for any prerequisites, environment setup, or post-install checks. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run."
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  "documentation": {
    "source": "clawhub",
    "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md",
    "sections": [
      {
        "title": "🎯 WHAT IT DOES",
        "body": "Scans ALL Polymarket markets for profitable opportunities.\n\nMarkets covered:\n\n✅ Crypto (BTC, ETH, altcoins - 5min, 15min, daily markets)\n✅ Politics (Elections, policy, polls, debates)\n✅ Sports (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, Soccer, UFC, Tennis, Golf)\n✅ Economics (Fed rates, CPI, jobs, GDP, stock markets)\n✅ Technology (Apple, Tesla, Google, IPOs, launches)\n✅ Entertainment (Oscars, Emmys, box office, celebrities)\n✅ Weather (Hurricanes, temperatures, climate events)\n✅ Miscellaneous (Viral events, trends, binary outcomes)\n\nTotal: 1000-5000+ markets scanned continuously"
      },
      {
        "title": "1. Parity Arbitrage",
        "body": "What: YES + NO prices don't sum to $1.00\n\nYES price: $0.45\nNO price: $0.52\nTotal: $0.97\n\nBuy both → Guaranteed payout: $1.00\nProfit: $0.03 (3.1%)\n\nRisk: ZERO (guaranteed profit)\n\nFrequency: 5-20 per day\nDuration: 2-15 seconds\nWin rate: 100% (if executed)"
      },
      {
        "title": "2. Logical Arbitrage",
        "body": "What: Impossible price combinations between related markets\n\nMarket A: \"Chiefs win Super Bowl\" = 28%\nMarket B: \"AFC team wins\" = 24%\n\nImpossible! Chiefs ARE an AFC team!\n\nBuy \"AFC wins\" at 24%\nIf Chiefs win (28%) → AFC wins → Profit\nIf other AFC wins → Profit\nCannot lose unless NFC wins\n\nFrequency: 2-10 per day\nDuration: Minutes to hours\nWin rate: 90-95%"
      },
      {
        "title": "3. Tail-End Trading",
        "body": "What: Buy highly certain outcomes (>95%) just before resolution\n\nEvent: Fed keeps rates (99% certain)\nMarket price: $0.97\n\nBuy at $0.97\nResolution: $1.00\nProfit: $0.03 (3.1%)\n\nRisk: Very low (event almost certain)\n\nFrequency: 10-30 per day\nDuration: Hours to days\nWin rate: 95-98%"
      },
      {
        "title": "4. Market Making",
        "body": "What: Provide liquidity, earn spread + maker rebates\n\nToken midpoint: $0.50\n\nPlace orders:\nBID: $0.475 (maker)\nASK: $0.525 (maker)\n\nSpread capture: $0.05 (10%)\n+ Polymarket rebates\n+ Liquidity rewards (3x multiplier)\n\nMonthly: 10-25% annualized\n\nFrequency: Continuous\nDuration: Indefinite\nWin rate: 80-90% (inventory risk)"
      },
      {
        "title": "5. Latency Arbitrage",
        "body": "What: Trade on information before market adjusts\n\nBitcoin 5-min market:\n- Monitor Binance/Chainlink feed\n- When price crosses threshold\n- Bot knows resolution 2-15s before UI\n\nTrade before market reacts\n\nFrequency: 50-200 per day (crypto markets)\nDuration: Seconds\nWin rate: 70-85%"
      },
      {
        "title": "6. Combinatorial Arbitrage (AI-powered)",
        "body": "What: Find mispriced relationships between multiple markets\n\nUsing sentence embeddings (e5-large-v2)\nFind related markets:\n- \"Trump wins election\"\n- \"Trump wins popular vote\"\n- \"Trump wins by 5%+\"\n\nIf Trump wins by 5%+ → wins popular vote\nBut prices show 30% vs 48% = Mispricing\n\nFrequency: 3-15 per day\nDuration: Hours to days\nWin rate: 75-90%"
      },
      {
        "title": "📊 MARKET CATEGORIZATION",
        "body": "Automatic categorization by keywords:\n\nCategories = {\n    'crypto': Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, altcoins\n    'politics': Elections, presidents, votes, polls\n    'sports': NBA, NFL, Soccer, UFC, Tennis\n    'economics': Fed, CPI, jobs, GDP, stocks\n    'technology': Apple, Tesla, Google, IPOs\n    'entertainment': Oscars, movies, celebrities\n    'weather': Hurricanes, temperatures, climate\n    'other': Everything else\n}\n\nStrategy application:\n\nCrypto → Latency + Market Making\nPolitics → Logical + Tail-End\nSports → Parity + News Arbitrage\nEconomics → Tail-End + Market Making\nAll → Parity + Combinatorial"
      },
      {
        "title": "⚡ EXECUTION SPEED",
        "body": "Parallel Scanning:\n\nWorkers: 50 parallel threads\nMarkets scanned: 1000-2000 per minute\nOpportunities detected: Real-time\nExecution: <1 second from detection\n\nScan Cycle:\n\n00s - Fetch all active markets (Gamma API)\n05s - Categorize markets automatically\n10s - Parallel scan with 50 workers\n30s - Detect opportunities across 5 strategies\n35s - Alert via Telegram\n40s - Wait 20 seconds\n60s - REPEAT"
      },
      {
        "title": "💰 CAPITAL ALLOCATION",
        "body": "Default configuration:\n\nTotal capital: $10,000 (configurable)\nMax per market: $1,000 (1-10% of capital)\n\nStrategy allocation:\n- Parity arb: 20% ($2,000)\n- Tail-end: 40% ($4,000)\n- Market making: 30% ($3,000)\n- Latency: 10% ($1,000)\n\nPosition sizing:\n\nHigh certainty (>95%): $500-$5,000\nMedium certainty (90-95%): $200-$2,000\nSpeculative (<90%): $100-$1,000"
      },
      {
        "title": "📱 TELEGRAM ALERTS",
        "body": "Real-time notifications:\n\n🎯 POLYMARKET OPPORTUNITIES\n\nFound 27 opportunities:\n\nPARITY_ARBITRAGE: 8\nTAIL_END: 12\nMARKET_MAKING: 5\nLATENCY: 2\n\nTop 5 by profit:\n\n• parity_arbitrage: 4.23%\n  NBA Lakers vs Warriors - Game Winner...\n\n• tail_end: 3.87%\n  Fed Rate Decision - Keeps Rates...\n\n• parity_arbitrage: 3.54%\n  Bitcoin Closes Above $45K Today...\n\n• tail_end: 3.12%\n  Super Bowl Winner - Chiefs...\n\n• market_making: 2.89%\n  Ethereum Above $2500 - 5min..."
      },
      {
        "title": "🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT",
        "body": "Built-in protections:\n\nMax position per market\nTotal capital limits\nStrategy diversification\nEvent resolution monitoring\nInventory risk tracking\n\nCircuit breakers:\n\nDaily loss > 5% → Pause 1 hour\nTotal drawdown > 10% → Alert + reduce sizes\nAPI rate limits → Auto-throttle\nFailed trades > 10 → Pause strategy"
      },
      {
        "title": "🎯 PERFORMANCE TARGETS",
        "body": "Conservative (Parity + Tail-End):\n\nCapital: $10,000\nMonthly ROI: 8-15%\nMonthly profit: $800-$1,500\nTrades/day: 10-30\nWin rate: 92-98%\n\nAggressive (All Strategies):\n\nCapital: $50,000\nMonthly ROI: 15-30%\nMonthly profit: $7,500-$15,000\nTrades/day: 50-200\nWin rate: 80-90%\n\nReal stats (from research):\n\n$40M extracted April 2024 - April 2025\nTop users: $1K-$2.2M profits\nBot win rates: 70-99%\nOpportunities duration: 2s-48h"
      },
      {
        "title": "📊 API USAGE",
        "body": "Gamma API (Market Discovery):\n\nGET /markets - Get all active markets\nGET /markets/{id} - Get market details\nRate limit: 60 req/min\n\nCLOB API (Trading):\n\nGET /book?token_id={id} - Order book\nGET /midpoint?token_id={id} - Midpoint price\nGET /price?token_id={id}&side={BUY/SELL} - Best price\nPOST /order - Place order\nDELETE /order - Cancel order\n\nRate limit: Public 60/min, Authenticated 100/min\n\nWebSocket (Real-time):\n\nwss://ws-subscriptions-clob.polymarket.com/ws/market/{token_id}\n- Order book updates\n- Trade updates\n- Price changes"
      },
      {
        "title": "🔒 SECURITY & TRANSPARENCY",
        "body": "What it does:\n\n✅ Scans public Polymarket markets\n✅ Places orders via CLOB API\n✅ Uses your Polygon wallet\n✅ Trades with your USDC\n✅ Reports via Telegram\n\nWhat it requires:\n\n✅ Polymarket API credentials\n✅ Polygon wallet private key\n✅ USDC balance on Polygon\n✅ Telegram bot (alerts)\n\nSafeguards:\n\n✅ Position size limits\n✅ Strategy diversification\n✅ Event resolution monitoring\n✅ Circuit breakers\n✅ Full audit trail\n\nNever:\n\n❌ Trades without detection\n❌ Exceeds position limits\n❌ Bypasses risk controls"
      },
      {
        "title": "⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES",
        "body": "Polymarket specifics:\n\nOperates on Polygon (low gas fees)\nTrades settle on-chain (USDC)\nEvents resolve when outcome known\nMarkets can be cancelled/invalid\nFees: 2% on winners (some markets)\n\nCapital requirements:\n\nMinimum: $1,000 (limited opportunities)\nRecommended: $5,000-$10,000\nProfessional: $50,000+\n\nLegal:\n\nCheck local regulations\nPrediction markets may be restricted\nUse at your own risk\nNot financial advice\n\nVersion: 1.0.0\nLicense: MIT\nAuthor: Georges Andronescu (Wesley Armando)\n\nSCAN EVERYTHING. TRADE EVERYTHING. PROFIT EVERYWHERE. 🎯💰\n\nEND OF SKILL"
      }
    ],
    "body": "Polymarket Oracle — Multi-Strategy Arbitrage Bot\n🎯 WHAT IT DOES\n\nScans ALL Polymarket markets for profitable opportunities.\n\nMarkets covered:\n\n✅ Crypto (BTC, ETH, altcoins - 5min, 15min, daily markets)\n✅ Politics (Elections, policy, polls, debates)\n✅ Sports (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, Soccer, UFC, Tennis, Golf)\n✅ Economics (Fed rates, CPI, jobs, GDP, stock markets)\n✅ Technology (Apple, Tesla, Google, IPOs, launches)\n✅ Entertainment (Oscars, Emmys, box office, celebrities)\n✅ Weather (Hurricanes, temperatures, climate events)\n✅ Miscellaneous (Viral events, trends, binary outcomes)\n\nTotal: 1000-5000+ markets scanned continuously\n\n🔥 STRATEGIES DETECTED\n1. Parity Arbitrage\n\nWhat: YES + NO prices don't sum to $1.00\n\nYES price: $0.45\nNO price: $0.52\nTotal: $0.97\n\nBuy both → Guaranteed payout: $1.00\nProfit: $0.03 (3.1%)\n\nRisk: ZERO (guaranteed profit)\n\n\nFrequency: 5-20 per day\nDuration: 2-15 seconds\nWin rate: 100% (if executed)\n\n2. Logical Arbitrage\n\nWhat: Impossible price combinations between related markets\n\nMarket A: \"Chiefs win Super Bowl\" = 28%\nMarket B: \"AFC team wins\" = 24%\n\nImpossible! Chiefs ARE an AFC team!\n\nBuy \"AFC wins\" at 24%\nIf Chiefs win (28%) → AFC wins → Profit\nIf other AFC wins → Profit\nCannot lose unless NFC wins\n\n\nFrequency: 2-10 per day\nDuration: Minutes to hours\nWin rate: 90-95%\n\n3. Tail-End Trading\n\nWhat: Buy highly certain outcomes (>95%) just before resolution\n\nEvent: Fed keeps rates (99% certain)\nMarket price: $0.97\n\nBuy at $0.97\nResolution: $1.00\nProfit: $0.03 (3.1%)\n\nRisk: Very low (event almost certain)\n\n\nFrequency: 10-30 per day\nDuration: Hours to days\nWin rate: 95-98%\n\n4. Market Making\n\nWhat: Provide liquidity, earn spread + maker rebates\n\nToken midpoint: $0.50\n\nPlace orders:\nBID: $0.475 (maker)\nASK: $0.525 (maker)\n\nSpread capture: $0.05 (10%)\n+ Polymarket rebates\n+ Liquidity rewards (3x multiplier)\n\nMonthly: 10-25% annualized\n\n\nFrequency: Continuous\nDuration: Indefinite\nWin rate: 80-90% (inventory risk)\n\n5. Latency Arbitrage\n\nWhat: Trade on information before market adjusts\n\nBitcoin 5-min market:\n- Monitor Binance/Chainlink feed\n- When price crosses threshold\n- Bot knows resolution 2-15s before UI\n\nTrade before market reacts\n\n\nFrequency: 50-200 per day (crypto markets)\nDuration: Seconds\nWin rate: 70-85%\n\n6. Combinatorial Arbitrage (AI-powered)\n\nWhat: Find mispriced relationships between multiple markets\n\nUsing sentence embeddings (e5-large-v2)\nFind related markets:\n- \"Trump wins election\"\n- \"Trump wins popular vote\"\n- \"Trump wins by 5%+\"\n\nIf Trump wins by 5%+ → wins popular vote\nBut prices show 30% vs 48% = Mispricing\n\n\nFrequency: 3-15 per day\nDuration: Hours to days\nWin rate: 75-90%\n\n📊 MARKET CATEGORIZATION\n\nAutomatic categorization by keywords:\n\nCategories = {\n    'crypto': Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, altcoins\n    'politics': Elections, presidents, votes, polls\n    'sports': NBA, NFL, Soccer, UFC, Tennis\n    'economics': Fed, CPI, jobs, GDP, stocks\n    'technology': Apple, Tesla, Google, IPOs\n    'entertainment': Oscars, movies, celebrities\n    'weather': Hurricanes, temperatures, climate\n    'other': Everything else\n}\n\n\nStrategy application:\n\nCrypto → Latency + Market Making\nPolitics → Logical + Tail-End\nSports → Parity + News Arbitrage\nEconomics → Tail-End + Market Making\nAll → Parity + Combinatorial\n⚡ EXECUTION SPEED\n\nParallel Scanning:\n\nWorkers: 50 parallel threads\nMarkets scanned: 1000-2000 per minute\nOpportunities detected: Real-time\nExecution: <1 second from detection\n\n\nScan Cycle:\n\n00s - Fetch all active markets (Gamma API)\n05s - Categorize markets automatically\n10s - Parallel scan with 50 workers\n30s - Detect opportunities across 5 strategies\n35s - Alert via Telegram\n40s - Wait 20 seconds\n60s - REPEAT\n\n💰 CAPITAL ALLOCATION\n\nDefault configuration:\n\nTotal capital: $10,000 (configurable)\nMax per market: $1,000 (1-10% of capital)\n\nStrategy allocation:\n- Parity arb: 20% ($2,000)\n- Tail-end: 40% ($4,000)\n- Market making: 30% ($3,000)\n- Latency: 10% ($1,000)\n\n\nPosition sizing:\n\nHigh certainty (>95%): $500-$5,000\nMedium certainty (90-95%): $200-$2,000\nSpeculative (<90%): $100-$1,000\n📱 TELEGRAM ALERTS\n\nReal-time notifications:\n\n🎯 POLYMARKET OPPORTUNITIES\n\nFound 27 opportunities:\n\nPARITY_ARBITRAGE: 8\nTAIL_END: 12\nMARKET_MAKING: 5\nLATENCY: 2\n\nTop 5 by profit:\n\n• parity_arbitrage: 4.23%\n  NBA Lakers vs Warriors - Game Winner...\n\n• tail_end: 3.87%\n  Fed Rate Decision - Keeps Rates...\n\n• parity_arbitrage: 3.54%\n  Bitcoin Closes Above $45K Today...\n\n• tail_end: 3.12%\n  Super Bowl Winner - Chiefs...\n\n• market_making: 2.89%\n  Ethereum Above $2500 - 5min...\n\n🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT\n\nBuilt-in protections:\n\nMax position per market\nTotal capital limits\nStrategy diversification\nEvent resolution monitoring\nInventory risk tracking\n\nCircuit breakers:\n\nDaily loss > 5% → Pause 1 hour\nTotal drawdown > 10% → Alert + reduce sizes\nAPI rate limits → Auto-throttle\nFailed trades > 10 → Pause strategy\n\n🎯 PERFORMANCE TARGETS\n\nConservative (Parity + Tail-End):\n\nCapital: $10,000\nMonthly ROI: 8-15%\nMonthly profit: $800-$1,500\nTrades/day: 10-30\nWin rate: 92-98%\n\n\nAggressive (All Strategies):\n\nCapital: $50,000\nMonthly ROI: 15-30%\nMonthly profit: $7,500-$15,000\nTrades/day: 50-200\nWin rate: 80-90%\n\n\nReal stats (from research):\n\n$40M extracted April 2024 - April 2025\nTop users: $1K-$2.2M profits\nBot win rates: 70-99%\nOpportunities duration: 2s-48h\n📊 API USAGE\n\nGamma API (Market Discovery):\n\nGET /markets - Get all active markets\nGET /markets/{id} - Get market details\nRate limit: 60 req/min\n\n\nCLOB API (Trading):\n\nGET /book?token_id={id} - Order book\nGET /midpoint?token_id={id} - Midpoint price\nGET /price?token_id={id}&side={BUY/SELL} - Best price\nPOST /order - Place order\nDELETE /order - Cancel order\n\nRate limit: Public 60/min, Authenticated 100/min\n\n\nWebSocket (Real-time):\n\nwss://ws-subscriptions-clob.polymarket.com/ws/market/{token_id}\n- Order book updates\n- Trade updates\n- Price changes\n\n🔒 SECURITY & TRANSPARENCY\n\nWhat it does:\n\n✅ Scans public Polymarket markets\n✅ Places orders via CLOB API\n✅ Uses your Polygon wallet\n✅ Trades with your USDC\n✅ Reports via Telegram\n\nWhat it requires:\n\n✅ Polymarket API credentials\n✅ Polygon wallet private key\n✅ USDC balance on Polygon\n✅ Telegram bot (alerts)\n\nSafeguards:\n\n✅ Position size limits\n✅ Strategy diversification\n✅ Event resolution monitoring\n✅ Circuit breakers\n✅ Full audit trail\n\nNever:\n\n❌ Trades without detection\n❌ Exceeds position limits\n❌ Bypasses risk controls\n⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES\n\nPolymarket specifics:\n\nOperates on Polygon (low gas fees)\nTrades settle on-chain (USDC)\nEvents resolve when outcome known\nMarkets can be cancelled/invalid\nFees: 2% on winners (some markets)\n\nCapital requirements:\n\nMinimum: $1,000 (limited opportunities)\nRecommended: $5,000-$10,000\nProfessional: $50,000+\n\nLegal:\n\nCheck local regulations\nPrediction markets may be restricted\nUse at your own risk\nNot financial advice\n\nVersion: 1.0.0\nLicense: MIT\nAuthor: Georges Andronescu (Wesley Armando)\n\nSCAN EVERYTHING. TRADE EVERYTHING. PROFIT EVERYWHERE. 🎯💰\n\nEND OF SKILL"
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    "license": null,
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