{ "schemaVersion": "1.0", "item": { "slug": "polymarket-scout", "name": "Polymarket Scout — Hourly Edge Detector", "source": "tencent", "type": "skill", "category": "AI 智能", "sourceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/polymarket-scout", "canonicalUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/polymarket-scout", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw" }, "install": { "downloadMode": "redirect", "downloadUrl": "/downloads/polymarket-scout", "sourceDownloadUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=polymarket-scout", "sourcePlatform": "tencent", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw", "installMethod": "Manual import", "extraction": "Extract archive", "prerequisites": [ "OpenClaw" ], "packageFormat": "ZIP package", "includedAssets": [ "SKILL.md" ], "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md", "quickSetup": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.", "Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup." ], "agentAssist": { "summary": "Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.", "steps": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract it into a folder your agent can access.", "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder." ], "prompts": [ { "label": "New install", "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. 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Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run." } ] }, "sourceHealth": { "source": "tencent", "status": "healthy", "reason": "direct_download_ok", "recommendedAction": "download", "checkedAt": "2026-04-30T16:55:25.780Z", "expiresAt": "2026-05-07T16:55:25.780Z", "httpStatus": 200, "finalUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=network", "contentType": "application/zip", "probeMethod": "head", "details": { "probeUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=network", "contentDisposition": "attachment; filename=\"network-1.0.0.zip\"", "redirectLocation": null, "bodySnippet": null }, "scope": "source", "summary": "Source download looks usable.", "detail": "Yavira can redirect you to the upstream package for this source.", "primaryActionLabel": "Download for OpenClaw", "primaryActionHref": "/downloads/polymarket-scout" }, "validation": { "installChecklist": [ "Use the Yavira download entry.", "Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.", "Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets." ], "postInstallChecks": [ "Confirm the extracted package includes the expected docs or setup files.", "Validate the skill or prompts are available in your target agent workspace.", "Capture any manual follow-up steps the agent could not complete." ] }, "downloadPageUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/polymarket-scout", "agentPageUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent", "manifestUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent.json", "briefUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent.md" }, "agentAssist": { "summary": "Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.", "steps": [ "Download the package from Yavira.", "Extract it into a folder your agent can access.", "Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder." ], "prompts": [ { "label": "New install", "body": "I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete." }, { "label": "Upgrade existing", "body": "I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run." } ] }, "documentation": { "source": "clawhub", "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md", "sections": [ { "title": "Polymarket Scout — Hourly Market Edge Detector", "body": "Scans Polymarket's hourly BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP up/down markets for tradeable edge using the Argus strategy." }, { "title": "What It Does", "body": "Fetches live Polymarket odds for hourly crypto markets via REST API\nComputes edge = our_P(win) - market_implied_P(win)\nFlags counter-consensus setups (TA says UP, market says 70%+ DOWN → positive EV)\nApplies freshness guard: skips markets >92% consensus (L020)\nReturns ranked edge opportunities with bet sizing (Kelly)" }, { "title": "Usage", "body": "Use polymarket-scout to scan current hourly markets for edge\n\nUse polymarket-scout to check BTC 10am ET edge\n\nUse polymarket-scout to find best Polymarket bet right now" }, { "title": "Edge Calculation", "body": "edge = our_P - market_P\nwhere our_P = TA-calibrated probability per asset:\n BTC: reliability 0.75, min score ±3\n ETH: reliability 0.80, slight UP bias +0.05\n SOL: reliability 0.90, UP bias +0.05\n XRP: reliability 0.70, UP bias +0.08 (CLARITY catalyst)" }, { "title": "Counter-Consensus Rule (L023)", "body": "When TA score ≥+1 AND market DOWN >80% AND ≥20 min remaining → counter-consensus UP has positive EV. Validated: 77.8% WR on fresh primary bets." }, { "title": "API Integration", "body": "Uses Polymarket CLOB REST API and Gamma API (no keys required)." } ], "body": "Polymarket Scout — Hourly Market Edge Detector\n\nScans Polymarket's hourly BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP up/down markets for tradeable edge using the Argus strategy.\n\nWhat It Does\nFetches live Polymarket odds for hourly crypto markets via REST API\nComputes edge = our_P(win) - market_implied_P(win)\nFlags counter-consensus setups (TA says UP, market says 70%+ DOWN → positive EV)\nApplies freshness guard: skips markets >92% consensus (L020)\nReturns ranked edge opportunities with bet sizing (Kelly)\nUsage\nUse polymarket-scout to scan current hourly markets for edge\n\nUse polymarket-scout to check BTC 10am ET edge\n\nUse polymarket-scout to find best Polymarket bet right now\n\nEdge Calculation\nedge = our_P - market_P\nwhere our_P = TA-calibrated probability per asset:\n BTC: reliability 0.75, min score ±3\n ETH: reliability 0.80, slight UP bias +0.05\n SOL: reliability 0.90, UP bias +0.05\n XRP: reliability 0.70, UP bias +0.08 (CLARITY catalyst)\n\nCounter-Consensus Rule (L023)\n\nWhen TA score ≥+1 AND market DOWN >80% AND ≥20 min remaining → counter-consensus UP has positive EV. Validated: 77.8% WR on fresh primary bets.\n\nAPI Integration\n\nUses Polymarket CLOB REST API and Gamma API (no keys required)." }, "trust": { "sourceLabel": "tencent", "provenanceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/polymarket-scout", "publisherUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/polymarket-scout", "owner": "JamieRossouw", "version": "1.0.0", "license": null, "verificationStatus": "Indexed source record" }, "links": { "detailUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout", "downloadUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/polymarket-scout", "agentUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent", "manifestUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent.json", "briefUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/polymarket-scout/agent.md" } }