# Send Prediction Market Aggregator to your agent Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually. ## Fast path - Download the package from Yavira. - Extract it into a folder your agent can access. - Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder. ## Suggested prompts ### New install ```text I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete. ``` ### Upgrade existing ```text I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run. ``` ## Machine-readable fields ```json { "schemaVersion": "1.0", "item": { "slug": "prediction-market-aggregator", "name": "Prediction Market Aggregator", "source": "tencent", "type": "skill", "category": "数据分析", "sourceUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/prediction-market-aggregator", "canonicalUrl": "https://clawhub.ai/JamieRossouw/prediction-market-aggregator", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw" }, "install": { "downloadUrl": "/downloads/prediction-market-aggregator", "sourceDownloadUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=prediction-market-aggregator", "sourcePlatform": "tencent", "targetPlatform": "OpenClaw", "packageFormat": "ZIP package", "primaryDoc": "SKILL.md", "includedAssets": [ "SKILL.md" ], "downloadMode": "redirect", "sourceHealth": { "source": "tencent", "status": "healthy", "reason": "direct_download_ok", "recommendedAction": "download", "checkedAt": "2026-04-23T16:43:11.935Z", "expiresAt": "2026-04-30T16:43:11.935Z", "httpStatus": 200, "finalUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=4claw-imageboard", "contentType": "application/zip", "probeMethod": "head", "details": { "probeUrl": "https://wry-manatee-359.convex.site/api/v1/download?slug=4claw-imageboard", "contentDisposition": "attachment; filename=\"4claw-imageboard-1.0.1.zip\"", "redirectLocation": null, "bodySnippet": null }, "scope": "source", "summary": "Source download looks usable.", "detail": "Yavira can redirect you to the upstream package for this source.", "primaryActionLabel": "Download for OpenClaw", "primaryActionHref": "/downloads/prediction-market-aggregator" }, "validation": { "installChecklist": [ "Use the Yavira download entry.", "Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.", "Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets." ], "postInstallChecks": [ "Confirm the extracted package includes the expected docs or setup files.", "Validate the skill or prompts are available in your target agent workspace.", "Capture any manual follow-up steps the agent could not complete." ] } }, "links": { "detailUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator", "downloadUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/prediction-market-aggregator", "agentUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent", "manifestUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent.json", "briefUrl": "https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent.md" } } ``` ## Documentation ### Prediction Market Aggregator Cross-market prediction data, edge detection, and arbitrage scanner. Open-source alternative to DomeAPI. ### Markets Covered MarketAssetsAPIAuthPolymarketBTC, ETH, SOL, XRP hourly + major eventsCLOB RESTAPI key + EIP-712Manifold MarketsThousands of community marketsRESTAPI key (free)MetaculusLong-form forecasts, aggregated consensusRESTNone (public)KalshiUS-regulated binary contractsRESTAPI key ### 1. Cross-Market Arbitrage Scanner Find the same question priced differently across markets: BTC >$70k by March? Polymarket: 62% Manifold: 71% ← 9% gap → sell Manifold, buy Polymarket Metaculus: 58% ### 2. Consensus Drift Detection Track how market consensus shifts over time: Alert when market moves >10% within 30 minutes Detect smart money vs retail flow divergence Flag markets where Metaculus (superforecasters) disagrees >15% with Polymarket ### 3. Polymarket CLOB Integration Full py-clob-client compatible: Scan hourly BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP markets Calculate edge vs TA-implied probability (Argus strategy) Counter-consensus detection (L023): market >70% one-sided + TA disagrees = bet ### 4. Unified API Response Format { "question": "BTC up by 1pm ET?", "markets": { "polymarket": { "yes": 0.62, "volume": 455000, "url": "..." }, "manifold": { "yes": 0.71, "traders": 142, "url": "..." } }, "arbitrage": { "detected": true, "gap": 0.09, "direction": "buy_poly_sell_manifold" }, "consensus": { "weighted_avg": 0.65, "superforecaster_avg": 0.58 } } ### How to Use Ask: "Is there arbitrage between Polymarket and Manifold on BTC price?" Ask: "What markets have the widest consensus gap right now?" Ask: "Find me the highest-edge Polymarket bet using cross-market consensus" ### DomeAPI Migration Guide If you used DomeAPI for cross-market data: /v1/markets → Use Polymarket CLOB /markets + Manifold /v0/markets + Metaculus /questions /v1/arbitrage → Use this skill's cross-market scanner /v1/consensus → Use Metaculus community predictions as consensus baseline ### Argus Integration This skill plugs directly into the Argus edge detection strategy: Get TA score from argus-edge skill Compare vs cross-market consensus from this skill If TA + consensus both diverge from Polymarket price → max conviction bet ## Trust - Source: tencent - Verification: Indexed source record - Publisher: JamieRossouw - Version: 1.0.0 ## Source health - Status: healthy - Source download looks usable. - Yavira can redirect you to the upstream package for this source. - Health scope: source - Reason: direct_download_ok - Checked at: 2026-04-23T16:43:11.935Z - Expires at: 2026-04-30T16:43:11.935Z - Recommended action: Download for OpenClaw ## Links - [Detail page](https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator) - [Send to Agent page](https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent) - [JSON manifest](https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent.json) - [Markdown brief](https://openagent3.xyz/skills/prediction-market-aggregator/agent.md) - [Download page](https://openagent3.xyz/downloads/prediction-market-aggregator)