Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Search, analyze, and trade on Manifold Markets prediction markets by checking odds, placing bets, viewing portfolios, and managing positions with API-based c...
Search, analyze, and trade on Manifold Markets prediction markets by checking odds, placing bets, viewing portfolios, and managing positions with API-based c...
Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.
I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.
I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.
Trade on prediction markets via the Manifold API. All commands output JSON. Script path: {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py Run with: python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py <command> [options]
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py balance
# Search by keyword python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "US election" # Open binary markets, sorted by popularity python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "AI" --filter open --sort most-popular --limit 5 # Closing soon python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py search "" --filter closing-week --sort close-date Filters: all, open, closed, resolved, closing-day, closing-week, closing-month Sorts: most-popular, newest, score, daily-score, 24-hour-vol, liquidity, close-date, prob-descending, prob-ascending
# By ID python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py market <market-id> # By slug (from URL) python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py market some-market-slug # Just the probability python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py prob <market-id>
# Market order: bet 100 mana on YES python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet <contract-id> 100 YES # Limit order at 40% probability python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet <contract-id> 100 YES --limit-prob 0.40 # Dry run (simulate without executing) python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet <contract-id> 100 YES --dry-run # Bet on a specific answer in a multiple-choice market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet <contract-id> 50 YES --answer-id <answer-id> # Limit order that expires in 1 hour python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bet <contract-id> 100 YES --limit-prob 0.35 --expires-ms 3600000
# Sell all shares in a market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell <contract-id> # Sell specific outcome python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell <contract-id> --outcome YES # Sell partial shares python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell <contract-id> --outcome NO --shares 50 # Sell in multiple-choice market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py sell <contract-id> --answer-id <answer-id>
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py cancel <bet-id>
# Your portfolio summary python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py portfolio # Your current positions with contract details python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py my-positions --limit 10 --order profit # Positions/leaderboard for a specific market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py positions <contract-id> --top 10 # Your position in a specific market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py positions <contract-id> --user-id <your-user-id>
# Your recent bets python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --username <your-username> # Bets on a specific market python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --contract-id <contract-id> # Open limit orders only python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py bets --username <your-username> --kinds open-limit
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/manifold.py me
All monetary amounts are in mana (M$). New accounts start with M$1,000. Limit orders use probabilities from 0.01 to 0.99 (two decimal places). Always use --dry-run first when the user asks to place a bet, so they can confirm the expected outcome before committing real mana. The search results include id fields โ use these as contract-id for betting/selling. For multiple-choice markets, fetch market details first to see available answers and their IDs. API rate limit: 500 requests/minute.
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