Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Tencent SkillHub Β· AI
weather-agent
Trade Polymarket US temperature markets using NOAA forecasts with dynamic confidence, quality filtering, and smart trade sizing for improved accuracy and ris...
skill openclawclawhub Free
Trade Polymarket US temperature markets using NOAA forecasts with dynamic confidence, quality filtering, and smart trade sizing for improved accuracy and ris...
β¬ 0 downloads β
0 stars Unverified but indexed
Install for OpenClaw
Quick setup
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
- Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.
Package facts
- Download mode
- Yavira redirect
- Package format
- ZIP package
- Source platform
- Tencent SkillHub
- What's included
- config.json, requirements.txt, SKILL.md, weather_trader_enhanced.py, scripts/status.py
Validation
- Use the Yavira download entry.
- Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
- Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.
Install with your agent
Agent handoff
Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
- Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.
New install
I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.
Upgrade existing
I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.
Trust & source
Release facts
- Source
- Tencent SkillHub
- Verification
- Indexed source record
- Version
- 1.0.4
Provenance
- Publisher
- Mohamedj2020
- Source page
- View original listing
- Canonical URL
- Open canonical page
Documentation
CRITICAL: Autonomous Trading Skill
This skill places REAL TRADES with REAL MONEY when enabled. Key information: Default State: autostart:false - Will NOT run automatically Autonomous Behavior: Runs every 6 hours when manually enabled Financial Risk: Can deploy $30-60/day (max $100/day with quality filter) No Per-Trade Review: Trades execute automatically without approval
Credentials
Required: SIMMER_API_KEY - Trading API key from simmer.markets/dashboard Optional (non-secret configuration): 6 SIMMER_WEATHER_* environment variables for trading parameters (see Configuration) No other credentials needed (no wallet keys, RPC endpoints, or cloud credentials). Optional dependency: If you install tradejournal, it will log trade details. Not installed by default. Inspect source code before installing.
Installation Method
Manual installation (no automatic scripts) Place files in ~/.openclaw/skills/weather-enhanced/ Create .env file with API key No automatic system writes
Dependencies
python-dotenv>=1.0.0 # Optional Clean dependency list: Uses built-in urllib (no requests library) No web3, telegram bot, or other unused dependencies Optional: tradejournal for trade logging (commented out in requirements.txt)
Network Endpoints
This skill connects to 3 endpoints: api.weather.gov (NOAA) Purpose: Fetch temperature forecasts Data sent: Latitude/longitude (public coordinates) Data received: Weather forecasts (public data) Authentication: None Code location: weather_trader_enhanced.py line ~250-280 nominatim.openstreetmap.org (Geocoding) Purpose: Convert city names to coordinates Data sent: City name string (e.g., "Chicago") Data received: Lat/lon coordinates Authentication: None Code location: weather_trader_enhanced.py line ~200-230 api.simmer.markets (Trading) Purpose: Execute trades, read portfolio Data sent: SIMMER_API_KEY (bearer token), trade orders Data received: Trade confirmations, positions, balance Authentication: Bearer token Code location: weather_trader_enhanced.py line ~300-350 Note: If you install the optional tradejournal dependency, it may add endpoints.
Security Guarantees
No other network connections in code API key never logged to disk or console API key sent only to api.simmer.markets No tracking, analytics, or telemetry No data exfiltration All network calls visible in source (use grep to verify)
API Key Permissions
Your SIMMER_API_KEY should have: Read portfolio (required) Read positions (required) Place trades (required) NO withdrawal permissions NO account modification permissions Create least-privilege key: Visit simmer.markets/dashboard β SDK tab Create new API key Select "Trading Only" if available Never grant withdrawal rights Store in .env file (git-ignored) Rotate key after testing
Configuration Storage
.env file: Contains SIMMER_API_KEY (never committed) config.json: Trading parameters only (no secrets) No persistent logs All data ephemeral (console output only) Note: Legacy variables WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY and POLYGON_RPC_URL in .env are unused (web3 removed).
Safety Features
Default: autostart disabled - Must manually enable Quality filter (60%) - Skips low-liquidity markets Position limits ($5) - Caps risk per trade Trade limits (5/run) - Maximum 5 trades every 6 hours Entry threshold (15%) - Only buys undervalued markets Exit threshold (45%) - Auto-sells at profit
Before Enabling
DO NOT SKIP THESE STEPS
1. Review Source Code
# Inspect main trading logic cat weather_trader_enhanced.py | less # Verify network endpoints (should only find 3) grep -n "urlopen\|Request\|http" weather_trader_enhanced.py # Check API key usage (should only send to simmer.markets) grep -n "api_key\|SIMMER_API_KEY" weather_trader_enhanced.py # Check optional tradejournal usage grep -n "tradejournal\|log_trade" weather_trader_enhanced.py
2. Understand Platform Behavior
OpenClaw metadata controls: autostart:false = Skill will NOT run on startup (safe default) cron:"0 */6 * * *" = Schedule (executes only when autostart enabled) Enable by editing line 5: change autostart:false to autostart:true Verify this method with OpenClaw docs: https://docs.openclaw.ai/ Manual file editing prevents accidental activation Alternative: Run manually without enabling autostart When enabled: Runs every 6 hours (12am, 6am, 12pm, 6pm) When disabled: 100% inactive
3. Verify API Key Permissions
Check your Simmer API key: Can read portfolio? (required) Can place trades? (required) Can withdraw funds? (should be NO) Can modify account? (should be NO) If your key has withdrawal permissions, create a new trading-only key.
4. Test Live Trading
# Check balance first python scripts/status.py # Execute live trades (start with small balance) python weather_trader_enhanced.py --live --smart-sizing Monitor closely on simmer.markets/dashboard Verify trades execute correctly Let positions resolve (1-3 days) Analyze results
5. Enable Autonomous Trading (Optional)
Only after successful manual testing. OpenClaw uses metadata-based activation: Skills enable via autostart field in SKILL.md Verify with OpenClaw docs or platform UI Manual editing prevents accidental activation Steps: Edit SKILL.md line 5 (the metadata line) Change "autostart":false to "autostart":true Save file Restart: openclaw restart Check logs to verify scheduled runs Manual runs only (alternative): python weather_trader_enhanced.py --live --smart-sizing This gives full control over trade timing.
Quick Start
# Check balance python scripts/status.py # Execute live trades python weather_trader_enhanced.py --live --smart-sizing # Optional: Dry run for testing python weather_trader_enhanced.py --dry-run
Requirements
SIMMER_API_KEY from simmer.markets/dashboard β SDK tab USDC balance in Simmer wallet
Configuration
Configure via environment variables or config.json: VariableDefaultDescriptionSIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY0.15Buy below this priceSIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT0.45Sell above this priceSIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION5.00Max USD per tradeSIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES5Max trades per runSIMMER_WEATHER_LOCATIONS"ALL"Cities to targetSIMMER_WEATHER_MIN_QUALITY0.6Min market quality
Features
Dynamic Confidence - Adjusts 60-90% based on forecast lead time Market Quality Scoring - Filters low-liquidity markets Smart Geocoding - Supports any US city Enhanced Parsing - Better temperature bucket detection Retry Logic - Recovers from API failures
Commands
# Live trading python weather_trader_enhanced.py --live --smart-sizing # Check positions python weather_trader_enhanced.py --positions # View config python weather_trader_enhanced.py --config # Set config python weather_trader_enhanced.py --set entry_threshold=0.20 # Optional: Dry run for testing python weather_trader_enhanced.py --dry-run
How It Works
Fetches NOAA forecasts for target locations Discovers weather markets via Simmer API Calculates edge using dynamic confidence model (adjusts 60-90% based on forecast timing) Filters markets by quality score (liquidity, volume, time) Executes trades when price < entry threshold Auto-exits when price > exit threshold Dynamic confidence adjusts based on lead time: Same day: 90% 1 day out: 88% 2 days out: 85% 3 days out: 80% 7+ days: 60% Market quality scoring weights: Liquidity (40%) Volume (30%) Time to resolution (20%) Price extremes (10%) Only trades markets with score β₯ 60%.
Troubleshooting
"SIMMER_API_KEY not set" Set env var or add to .env file "No weather markets found" Normal if no active markets on Polymarket "Position size too small" Increase max_position_usd or use --smart-sizing "Quality score too low" Market filtered for low liquidity/volume
Security Checklist
Before installing, verify:
Code Review
Inspected weather_trader_enhanced.py source Verified 3 network endpoints (NOAA, Nominatim, Simmer) Confirmed API key only sent to api.simmer.markets No suspicious code or obfuscation
Dependencies
Verified requirements.txt has only python-dotenv>=1.0.0 No unused dependencies (web3, telegram, requests removed) Using built-in urllib for HTTP If installing tradejournal, inspected source first
Configuration
Confirmed autostart:false in SKILL.md line 5 Verified activation method with OpenClaw docs/UI Know how to disable Reviewed position limits ($5 max per trade)
API Key Setup
Created least-privilege Simmer API key Key does NOT have withdrawal permissions Key stored in .env file (local, never committed) Understand key can read portfolio and place trades
Testing
Ran python scripts/status.py successfully Executed manual trade with small balance using --live Monitored trade on simmer.markets/dashboard Comfortable with autonomous behavior Optional: Tested with --dry-run first
Risk Understanding
Understand autonomous trading risks Know max daily deployment (~$30-60, max $100) Comfortable with no per-trade approval Know how to stop (disable in OpenClaw or edit SKILL.md) Started with small balance ($50-100)
Platform Behavior
Confirmed OpenClaw respects autostart:false Know skill won't run until manually enabled Understand cron schedule (every 6 hours when enabled) Know how to check OpenClaw logs If any checkbox is unchecked, DO NOT enable this skill.
Emergency Stop
To stop immediately: # Option 1: Disable in OpenClaw UI # Option 2: Edit SKILL.md # Change line 5: "autostart":false # Then: openclaw restart # Option 3: Stop OpenClaw entirely openclaw stop # Close positions manually on simmer.markets/dashboard
Support
Source code is visible in weather_trader_enhanced.py All network calls documented in this file No hidden functionality or obfuscation Use at your own risk. This skill places real trades with real money. Understand prediction markets and trading risks before use.
Category context
Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.
Source: Tencent SkillHub
Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.
Package contents
Included in package
2 Scripts1 Docs1 Config1 Files
- SKILL.md
- scripts/status.py
- weather_trader_enhanced.py
- config.json
- requirements.txt