Tencent SkillHub · AI

Polymarket Elon Tweets

Trade Polymarket "Elon Musk # tweets" markets using XTracker post count data. Buys adjacent range buckets when combined cost < $1 for structural edge. Use wh...

skill openclawclawhub Free

0 Downloads

0 Stars

0 Installs

0 Score

High Signal

Trade Polymarket "Elon Musk # tweets" markets using XTracker post count data. Buys adjacent range buckets when combined cost < $1 for structural edge. Use wh...

⬇ 0 downloads ★ 0 stars Unverified but indexed

Install for OpenClaw

Quick setup

Download the package from Yavira.
Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.

Requirements

Target platform: OpenClaw
Install method: Manual import
Extraction: Extract archive
Prerequisites: OpenClaw
Primary doc: SKILL.md

Package facts

Download mode: Yavira redirect
Package format: ZIP package
Source platform: Tencent SkillHub
What's included: SKILL.md, clawhub.json, config.json, elon_tweets.py, scripts/status.py

Validation

Use the Yavira download entry.
Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.

Install with your agent

Agent handoff

Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.

Download the package from Yavira.
Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.

New install

I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.

Upgrade existing

I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.

Open Send to Agent page Open JSON manifest Open Markdown brief

Trust & source

Release facts

Source: Tencent SkillHub
Verification: Indexed source record
Version: 1.1.1

Provenance

Publisher: adlai88
Source page: View original listing
Canonical URL: Open canonical page

Documentation

ClawHub primary doc Primary doc: SKILL.md 14 sections Open source page

Polymarket Elon Tweet Trader

Trade "Elon Musk # tweets" markets on Polymarket using XTracker post count data.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to: Trade Elon Musk tweet count markets automatically Set up @noovd-style bucket trading Check XTracker pace and stats for current tweet events Monitor and exit existing tweet market positions Configure bucket spread or entry thresholds

How the Strategy Works

Polymarket runs weekly "How many tweets will Elon post?" events with range buckets (e.g., 200-219, 220-239, 240-259). Exactly one bucket resolves YES = $1. The strategy: Get XTracker pace — XTracker tracks Elon's real-time post count and projects the final total Find center bucket — The bucket containing XTracker's projected pace Buy adjacent buckets — Buy the center + neighbors (configurable spread) Check combined cost — Only buy if the sum of bucket prices < $1 (the +EV threshold) One bucket pays $1 — When the event resolves, one of your buckets pays $1, covering costs

Setup Flow

When user asks to install or configure this skill: Install the Simmer SDK pip install simmer-sdk Ask for Simmer API key They can get it from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab Store in environment as SIMMER_API_KEY Ask for wallet private key (required for live trading) This is the private key for their Polymarket wallet (the wallet that holds USDC) Store in environment as WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY The SDK uses this to sign orders client-side automatically — no manual signing needed Ask about settings (or confirm defaults) Max bucket sum: Combined price threshold (default 90¢) Max position: Amount per bucket (default $5.00) Bucket spread: How many neighbors to buy (default 1 = center ± 1) Exit threshold: When to sell (default 65¢) Save settings to config.json or environment variables Set up cron (disabled by default — user must enable scheduling)

Configuration

SettingEnv VariableConfig KeyDefaultDescriptionMax bucket sumSIMMER_ELON_MAX_BUCKET_SUMmax_bucket_sum0.90Only buy if cluster prices sum < thisMax positionSIMMER_ELON_MAX_POSITIONmax_position_usd5.00Maximum USD per bucketBucket spreadSIMMER_ELON_BUCKET_SPREADbucket_spread1Neighbors on each side (1 = 3 buckets)Smart sizing %SIMMER_ELON_SIZING_PCTsizing_pct0.05% of balance per tradeMax trades/runSIMMER_ELON_MAX_TRADESmax_trades_per_run6Maximum trades per scan cycleExit thresholdSIMMER_ELON_EXITexit_threshold0.65Sell when bucket price above thisSlippage maxSIMMER_ELON_SLIPPAGE_MAXslippage_max_pct0.05Skip trade if slippage exceeds thisMin positionSIMMER_ELON_MIN_POSITIONmin_position_usd2.00Floor for smart sizing (USD)Data sourceSIMMER_ELON_DATA_SOURCEdata_sourcextrackerData source (xtracker) Config priority: config.json > environment variables > defaults.

Quick Commands

# Check account balance and positions python scripts/status.py # Detailed position list python scripts/status.py --positions API Reference: Base URL: https://api.simmer.markets Auth: Authorization: Bearer $SIMMER_API_KEY Portfolio: GET /api/sdk/portfolio Positions: GET /api/sdk/positions

Running the Skill

# Dry run (default — shows opportunities, no trades) python elon_tweets.py # Execute real trades python elon_tweets.py --live # With smart position sizing (uses portfolio balance) python elon_tweets.py --live --smart-sizing # Show XTracker stats only python elon_tweets.py --stats # Check positions only python elon_tweets.py --positions # View config python elon_tweets.py --config # Update config python elon_tweets.py --set max_position_usd=10.00 # Disable safeguards (not recommended) python elon_tweets.py --no-safeguards # Quiet mode — only output on trades/errors (ideal for cron) python elon_tweets.py --live --quiet # Combine: frequent scanning, minimal noise python elon_tweets.py --live --smart-sizing --quiet

How It Works

Each cycle the script: Fetches active XTracker trackings for Elon Musk tweet events Gets real-time stats: current count, projected pace, days remaining Searches Simmer for matching tweet count markets (auto-imports if missing) Finds the bucket matching XTracker's pace projection Evaluates adjacent buckets (center ± spread) Entry: If sum of cluster prices < max_bucket_sum → BUY each bucket Exit: Checks open positions, sells if any bucket price > exit_threshold Safeguards: Checks context for flip-flop warnings, slippage Tagging: All trades tagged with sdk:elon-tweets for tracking

Auto-Import

If tweet count markets aren't on Simmer yet, the skill automatically imports them: Derives the Polymarket event URL from the XTracker tracking title Uses the SDK import endpoint (supports multi-outcome events) Imports all outcome buckets as a group Counts as 1 daily import regardless of bucket count

Smart Sizing

With --smart-sizing, position size is calculated as: 5% of available USDC balance (configurable via sizing_pct) Capped at max position setting ($5.00 default) Falls back to fixed size if portfolio unavailable

Safeguards

Before trading, the skill checks: Flip-flop warning: Skips if you've been reversing too much Slippage: Skips if estimated slippage > 15% Market status: Skips closed or resolved markets Extreme prices: Skips buckets priced > 98% or < 2% Disable with --no-safeguards (not recommended).

Source Tagging

All trades are tagged with source: "sdk:elon-tweets". This means: Portfolio shows breakdown by strategy Other skills won't sell your tweet positions You can track tweet trading P&L separately

Example Output

🐦 Simmer Elon Tweet Trader ================================================== ⚙️ Configuration: Max bucket sum: $0.90 Max position: $5.00 Bucket spread: 1 (center ± 1 = 3 buckets) Exit threshold: 65% Data source: xtracker 📊 XTracker Stats: Tracking: Elon Musk # tweets Feb 13 - Feb 20 Current count: 187 posts Pace: 243 projected Days remaining: 2.3 🎯 Target cluster: 240-259 (center) + 220-239, 260-279 240-259: $0.35 220-239: $0.22 260-279: $0.18 Cluster sum: $0.75 (< $0.90 threshold) ✅ Executing trades... ✅ Bought 14.3 shares of 240-259 @ $0.35 ✅ Bought 22.7 shares of 220-239 @ $0.22 ✅ Bought 27.8 shares of 260-279 @ $0.18 📊 Summary: Events scanned: 2 Clusters evaluated: 2 Trades executed: 3 Exits: 0

Troubleshooting

"No XTracker trackings found" XTracker may not have active Elon tweet events New events usually start on Wednesdays/Thursdays "Cluster sum $X.XX exceeds threshold" Buckets are too expensive — edge is too thin Wait for prices to drop or widen bucket_spread "No matching Simmer markets found" Markets may not be imported yet — skill will auto-import on next run Check that your API key has import capacity (10/day free, 50/day Pro) "Safeguard blocked: flip-flop warning" You've been changing direction too much on this market Wait before trading again "External wallet requires a pre-signed order" WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY is not set in the environment The SDK signs orders automatically when this env var is present — no manual signing code needed Fix: export WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY=0x<your-polymarket-wallet-private-key> Do NOT attempt to sign orders manually or modify the skill code — the SDK handles it "Balance shows $0 but I have USDC on Polygon" Polymarket uses USDC.e (bridged USDC, contract 0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174) — not native USDC If you bridged USDC to Polygon recently, you likely received native USDC Swap native USDC to USDC.e, then retry "API key invalid" Get new key from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab

Category context

Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.

Source: Tencent SkillHub

Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.

Package contents

Included in package

2 Scripts2 Config1 Docs

SKILL.md Primary doc
elon_tweets.py Scripts
scripts/status.py Scripts
clawhub.json Config
config.json Config