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Polymarket Scout — Hourly Edge Detector

Scan Polymarket hourly crypto markets (BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP) for edge opportunities. Detects counter-consensus setups, freshness windows, and expected value using...

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Scan Polymarket hourly crypto markets (BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP) for edge opportunities. Detects counter-consensus setups, freshness windows, and expected value using...

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Install for OpenClaw

Quick setup
  1. Download the package from Yavira.
  2. Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
  3. Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.

Requirements

Target platform
OpenClaw
Install method
Manual import
Extraction
Extract archive
Prerequisites
OpenClaw
Primary doc
SKILL.md

Package facts

Download mode
Yavira redirect
Package format
ZIP package
Source platform
Tencent SkillHub
What's included
SKILL.md

Validation

  • Use the Yavira download entry.
  • Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
  • Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.

Install with your agent

Agent handoff

Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.

  1. Download the package from Yavira.
  2. Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
  3. Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.
New install

I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.

Upgrade existing

I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.

Trust & source

Release facts

Source
Tencent SkillHub
Verification
Indexed source record
Version
1.0.0

Documentation

ClawHub primary doc Primary doc: SKILL.md 6 sections Open source page

Polymarket Scout — Hourly Market Edge Detector

Scans Polymarket's hourly BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP up/down markets for tradeable edge using the Argus strategy.

What It Does

Fetches live Polymarket odds for hourly crypto markets via REST API Computes edge = our_P(win) - market_implied_P(win) Flags counter-consensus setups (TA says UP, market says 70%+ DOWN → positive EV) Applies freshness guard: skips markets >92% consensus (L020) Returns ranked edge opportunities with bet sizing (Kelly)

Usage

Use polymarket-scout to scan current hourly markets for edge Use polymarket-scout to check BTC 10am ET edge Use polymarket-scout to find best Polymarket bet right now

Edge Calculation

edge = our_P - market_P where our_P = TA-calibrated probability per asset: BTC: reliability 0.75, min score ±3 ETH: reliability 0.80, slight UP bias +0.05 SOL: reliability 0.90, UP bias +0.05 XRP: reliability 0.70, UP bias +0.08 (CLARITY catalyst)

Counter-Consensus Rule (L023)

When TA score ≥+1 AND market DOWN >80% AND ≥20 min remaining → counter-consensus UP has positive EV. Validated: 77.8% WR on fresh primary bets.

API Integration

Uses Polymarket CLOB REST API and Gamma API (no keys required).

Category context

Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.

Source: Tencent SkillHub

Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.

Package contents

Included in package
1 Docs
  • SKILL.md Primary doc