Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Tencent SkillHub · AI
Polymarket Trader
Build and analyze a BTC 1h Up/Down trading strategy anchored to Binance BTCUSDT, applying edge thresholds, regime filters, and detailed trade validation.
skill openclawclawhub Free
Build and analyze a BTC 1h Up/Down trading strategy anchored to Binance BTCUSDT, applying edge thresholds, regime filters, and detailed trade validation.
⬇ 0 downloads ★ 0 stars Unverified but indexed
Install for OpenClaw
Quick setup
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
- Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.
Package facts
- Download mode
- Yavira redirect
- Package format
- ZIP package
- Source platform
- Tencent SkillHub
- What's included
- references/strategy.md, scripts/binance_klines.py, scripts/binance_regime.py, scripts/explain_fills.py, SKILL.md
Validation
- Use the Yavira download entry.
- Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
- Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.
Install with your agent
Agent handoff
Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
- Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.
New install
I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.
Upgrade existing
I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.
Trust & source
Release facts
- Source
- Tencent SkillHub
- Verification
- Indexed source record
- Version
- 1.0.0
Provenance
- Publisher
- drakec48
- Source page
- View original listing
- Canonical URL
- Open canonical page
Documentation
Polymarket Trader
Maintain a profitable BTC 1h Up/Down strategy by anchoring decisions to Binance BTCUSDT (the resolution source) and enforcing anti-churn/risk rules.
Workflow (use this order)
Confirm the market type This skill is optimized for bitcoin-up-or-down-* 1h markets (Binance 1H open vs close). Compute the anchor signal (Binance) Fetch 1m closes + the 1h open for the relevant hour. Compute volatility (sigma) and time-to-expiry. Convert to fair probability for Up/Down. Trade only when there is measurable edge Enter only if edge = fair_prob - market_price exceeds a threshold. Add a directional guardrail: do not bet against the sign of the move when |z| is non-trivial. Exit using the right logic for the entry mode Model entries: exit on edge decay / model flip; hold to preclose when confidence is extreme. Mean-reversion entries: exit on reversion targets (not model-tp), with strict churn limits. Validate with logs Every suspected “nonsense trade” must be explained via: reason / entry_mode Binance-derived fair probability + z whether the correct exit block fired
Bundled scripts
All scripts are designed to be run from the OpenClaw workspace.
1) Fetch Binance klines
{baseDir}/scripts/binance_klines.py Pulls klines and prints JSON.
2) Dump/stabilization and regime metrics
{baseDir}/scripts/binance_regime.py Computes ret5/ret15/slope10 + simple “stabilized” boolean.
3) Explain fills (events.jsonl) with Binance context
{baseDir}/scripts/explain_fills.py Reads paperbot events.jsonl and prints a concise table for the last N fills: side/outcome/px/reason estimated fair_up + z “against trend?” flag
References
{baseDir}/references/strategy.md — the math model, parameters, and tuning checklist.
Category context
Agent frameworks, memory systems, reasoning layers, and model-native orchestration.
Source: Tencent SkillHub
Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.
Package contents
Included in package
3 Scripts2 Docs
- SKILL.md
- references/strategy.md
- scripts/binance_klines.py
- scripts/binance_regime.py
- scripts/explain_fills.py