Requirements
- Target platform
- OpenClaw
- Install method
- Manual import
- Extraction
- Extract archive
- Prerequisites
- OpenClaw
- Primary doc
- SKILL.md
Tencent SkillHub · Data Analysis
Prediction Market Aggregator
Cross-market prediction market data aggregator. Covers Polymarket, Manifold, Metaculus, and Kalshi. Finds arbitrage between markets, tracks consensus drift,...
skill openclawclawhub Free
Cross-market prediction market data aggregator. Covers Polymarket, Manifold, Metaculus, and Kalshi. Finds arbitrage between markets, tracks consensus drift,...
⬇ 0 downloads ★ 0 stars Unverified but indexed
Install for OpenClaw
Quick setup
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract the archive and review SKILL.md first.
- Import or place the package into your OpenClaw setup.
Package facts
- Download mode
- Yavira redirect
- Package format
- ZIP package
- Source platform
- Tencent SkillHub
- What's included
- SKILL.md
Validation
- Use the Yavira download entry.
- Review SKILL.md after the package is downloaded.
- Confirm the extracted package contains the expected setup assets.
Install with your agent
Agent handoff
Hand the extracted package to your coding agent with a concrete install brief instead of figuring it out manually.
- Download the package from Yavira.
- Extract it into a folder your agent can access.
- Paste one of the prompts below and point your agent at the extracted folder.
New install
I downloaded a skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder and install it by following the included instructions. Tell me what you changed and call out any manual steps you could not complete.
Upgrade existing
I downloaded an updated skill package from Yavira. Read SKILL.md from the extracted folder, compare it with my current installation, and upgrade it while preserving any custom configuration unless the package docs explicitly say otherwise. Summarize what changed and any follow-up checks I should run.
Trust & source
Release facts
- Source
- Tencent SkillHub
- Verification
- Indexed source record
- Version
- 1.0.0
Provenance
- Publisher
- JamieRossouw
- Source page
- View original listing
- Canonical URL
- Open canonical page
Documentation
Prediction Market Aggregator
Cross-market prediction data, edge detection, and arbitrage scanner. Open-source alternative to DomeAPI.
Markets Covered
MarketAssetsAPIAuthPolymarketBTC, ETH, SOL, XRP hourly + major eventsCLOB RESTAPI key + EIP-712Manifold MarketsThousands of community marketsRESTAPI key (free)MetaculusLong-form forecasts, aggregated consensusRESTNone (public)KalshiUS-regulated binary contractsRESTAPI key
1. Cross-Market Arbitrage Scanner
Find the same question priced differently across markets: BTC >$70k by March? Polymarket: 62% Manifold: 71% ← 9% gap → sell Manifold, buy Polymarket Metaculus: 58%
2. Consensus Drift Detection
Track how market consensus shifts over time: Alert when market moves >10% within 30 minutes Detect smart money vs retail flow divergence Flag markets where Metaculus (superforecasters) disagrees >15% with Polymarket
3. Polymarket CLOB Integration
Full py-clob-client compatible: Scan hourly BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP markets Calculate edge vs TA-implied probability (Argus strategy) Counter-consensus detection (L023): market >70% one-sided + TA disagrees = bet
4. Unified API Response Format
{ "question": "BTC up by 1pm ET?", "markets": { "polymarket": { "yes": 0.62, "volume": 455000, "url": "..." }, "manifold": { "yes": 0.71, "traders": 142, "url": "..." } }, "arbitrage": { "detected": true, "gap": 0.09, "direction": "buy_poly_sell_manifold" }, "consensus": { "weighted_avg": 0.65, "superforecaster_avg": 0.58 } }
How to Use
Ask: "Is there arbitrage between Polymarket and Manifold on BTC price?" Ask: "What markets have the widest consensus gap right now?" Ask: "Find me the highest-edge Polymarket bet using cross-market consensus"
DomeAPI Migration Guide
If you used DomeAPI for cross-market data: /v1/markets → Use Polymarket CLOB /markets + Manifold /v0/markets + Metaculus /questions /v1/arbitrage → Use this skill's cross-market scanner /v1/consensus → Use Metaculus community predictions as consensus baseline
Argus Integration
This skill plugs directly into the Argus edge detection strategy: Get TA score from argus-edge skill Compare vs cross-market consensus from this skill If TA + consensus both diverge from Polymarket price → max conviction bet
Category context
Data access, storage, extraction, analysis, reporting, and insight generation.
Source: Tencent SkillHub
Largest current source with strong distribution and engagement signals.
Package contents
Included in package
1 Docs
- SKILL.md